Leadership opinion polling for the 2016 Spanish general election

In the run up to the 2016 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge the opinions that voters hold towards political leaders. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 20 December 2015, to the day the next election was held, on 26 June 2016.

Preferred Prime Minister

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become Prime Minister.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size						Other/ None/ Not care	?	Lead

			Rajoy PP	Sánchez PSOE	Iglesias Podemos	Rivera C's	Garzón IU
InvyMark/laSexta^[1]	17–19 Jun 2016	1,200	25.1	21.3	28.0	12.3	–	–	13.3	2.9
TNS Demoscopia^[2]	13–19 Jun 2016	500	20.5	17.5	16.0	15.6	–	9.9	20.5	3.0
InvyMark/laSexta^[3]	15–16 Jun 2016	?	25.7	23.2	25.6	12.9	–	–	12.6	0.1
MyWord/Cadena SER^[4]	13–16 Jun 2016	1,502	14.7	16.4	26.0	20.5	–	–	22.4	5.5
TNS Demoscopia^[5]	6–12 Jun 2016	500	19.3	18.9	18.2	16.6	–	8.0	18.9	0.4
GESOP/El Periódico^[6]	3–7 Jun 2016	1,816	23.0	17.5	21.5	16.7	–	15.9	5.4	1.5
GAD3/La Vanguardia^[7]	6–9 Jun 2016	1,016	23.2	16.9	16.3	11.3	–	27.9	4.4	6.3
Metroscopia/El País^[8]	31 May–1 Jun 2016	1,200	21.0	24.0	19.0	21.0	–	–	15.0	3.0
InvyMark/laSexta^[9]	9–13 May 2016	?	24.5	23.6	25.5	14.5	–	–	11.9	1.0
IMOP/Llorente & Cuenca^[10]	6–10 Apr 2016	1,027	23.4	27.1	11.9	21.9	12.3	3.4		3.7
GESOP/El Periódico^[11]	5–8 Mar 2016	1,000	20.5	22.6	12.7	18.9	11.0	10.6	3.7	2.1
InvyMark/laSexta^[12]	21–23 Dec 2015	?	27.0	20.3	26.3	12.8	–	–	13.6	0.7

Predicted Prime Minister

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become Prime Minister.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size					Other/ None/ Not care	?	Lead

			Rajoy PP	Sánchez PSOE	Iglesias Podemos	Rivera C's
InvyMark/laSexta^[1]	17–19 Jun 2016	1,200	45.3	13.7	10.8	1.6	–	28.6	31.6
TNS Demoscopia^[2]	13–19 Jun 2016	500	40.5	19.4	11.8	3.3	2.5	22.5	21.1
InvyMark/laSexta^[3]	15–16 Jun 2016	?	47.1	14.7	7.5	1.1	–	29.6	32.4
GAD3/ABC^[13]	13–16 Jun 2016	1,400	38.3	10.1	8.6	1.2	41.8		28.2
TNS Demoscopia^[5]	6–12 Jun 2016	500	42.7	15.7	11.3	3.9	1.5	24.9	27.0
Metroscopia/El País^[8]	31 May–1 Jun 2016	1,200	46.0	27.0	8.0	4.0	–	15.0	19.0
GAD3/ABC^[13]	23–26 May 2016	1,000	37.6	13.4	4.5	1.0	43.5		24.2
Encuestamos^[14]	2–22 May 2016	2,000	35.2	28.6	29.5	4.8	6.8	–	5.7
InvyMark/laSexta^[9]	9–13 May 2016	?	54.0	18.4	7.1	1.6	–	18.9	35.6
GAD3/ABC^[15]	26–29 Apr 2016	800	33.7	17.4	1.6	2.6	10.3	34.3	16.3
Encuestamos^[16]	1–20 Apr 2016	2,000	35.2	35.1	13.0	5.8	10.9	–	0.1
GAD3/ABC^[17]	6–7 Apr 2016	800	26.8	33.2	2.2	2.8	10.3	24.8	6.4
Encuestamos^[18]	1–20 Mar 2016	2,000	28.5	36.1	13.1	6.0	16.3	–	7.6
GAD3/ABC^[19]	7–10 Mar 2016	800	25.3	28.8	2.9	3.7	17.3	22.0	3.5
Encuestamos^[20]	1–17 Feb 2016	1,800	9.2	49.9	4.1	2.8	34.0	–	40.7
GAD3/ABC^[21]	8–11 Feb 2016	800	21.1	40.0	3.1	2.4	12.1	21.2	18.9
GAD3/ABC^[22]	15–21 Jan 2016	802	32.5	31.7	4.4	3.2	10.3	17.9	0.8

Approval ratings

The tables below list the public approval ratings of the leaders and leading candidates of the main political parties in Spain.

Mariano Rajoy

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Mariano Rajoy (PP)

			Y	N	?	Net
					?	Net
Simple Lógica^[23]	1–15 Jun 2016	1,226	26.2	66.2	7.6	−40.0
Metroscopia/El País^[24]	7–8 Jun 2016	1,200	30.0	70.0	0.0	−40.0
Metroscopia/El País^[8]	31 May–1 Jun 2016	1,200	28.0	71.0	1.0	−43.0
Simple Lógica^[25]	2–10 May 2016	1,035	23.0	70.3	6.6	−47.3
Metroscopia/El País^[26]	26–28 Apr 2016	1,200	25.0	75.0	0.0	−50.0
Simple Lógica^[27]	4–12 Apr 2016	1,047	22.6	73.9	3.5	−51.3
Metroscopia^[28]	5–6 Apr 2016	1,200	27.0	73.0	0.0	−46.0
Metroscopia/El País^[29]	28–30 Mar 2016	1,200	25.0	74.0	1.0	−49.0
Metroscopia/El País^[30]	8–9 Mar 2016	1,200	28.0	72.0	0.0	−44.0
Simple Lógica^[31]	1–9 Mar 2016	1,206	25.4	71.9	2.6	−46.5
Simple Lógica^[32]	1–5 Feb 2016	1,048	27.3	69.6	3.1	−42.3
Metroscopia/El País^[33]	4 Feb 2016	600	34.0	65.0	1.0	−31.0
Metroscopia/El País^[34]	3–4 Feb 2016	1,000	30.0	69.0	1.0	−39.0
Metroscopia/El País^[33]	2 Feb 2016	?	33.0	66.0	1.0	−33.0
Metroscopia/El País^[33]	20–21 Jan 2016	1,200	33.0	66.0	1.0	−33.0
Metroscopia/El País^[35]	12–14 Jan 2016	1,200	35.0	64.0	1.0	−29.0
Simple Lógica^[36]	4–12 Jan 2016	1,050	30.3	65.5	4.2	−35.2

Pedro Sánchez

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Pedro Sánchez (PSOE)

			Y	N	?	Net
					?	Net
Simple Lógica^[23]	1–15 Jun 2016	1,226	20.8	68.6	10.5	−47.8
Metroscopia/El País^[24]	7–8 Jun 2016	1,200	31.0	68.0	1.0	−37.0
Metroscopia/El País^[8]	31 May–1 Jun 2016	1,200	30.0	68.0	2.0	−38.0
Simple Lógica^[25]	2–10 May 2016	1,035	24.1	67.6	8.4	−43.5
Metroscopia/El País^[26]	26–28 Apr 2016	1,200	31.0	68.0	1.0	−37.0
Simple Lógica^[27]	4–12 Apr 2016	1,047	25.7	68.0	6.3	−42.3
Metroscopia^[28]	5–6 Apr 2016	1,200	36.0	62.0	2.0	−26.0
Metroscopia/El País^[29]	28–30 Mar 2016	1,200	39.0	59.0	2.0	−20.0
Metroscopia/El País^[30]	8–9 Mar 2016	1,200	46.0	52.0	2.0	−6.0
Simple Lógica^[31]	1–9 Mar 2016	1,206	35.4	59.9	4.7	−24.5
Simple Lógica^[32]	1–5 Feb 2016	1,048	27.2	66.3	6.5	−39.1
Metroscopia/El País^[33]	4 Feb 2016	600	50.0	47.0	3.0	+3.0
Metroscopia/El País^[34]	3–4 Feb 2016	1,000	50.0	46.0	4.0	+4.0
Metroscopia/El País^[33]	2 Feb 2016	?	44.0	52.0	4.0	−8.0
Metroscopia/El País^[33]	20–21 Jan 2016	1,200	31.0	64.0	5.0	−33.0
Metroscopia/El País^[35]	12–14 Jan 2016	1,200	37.0	57.0	6.0	−20.0
Simple Lógica^[36]	4–12 Jan 2016	1,050	23.2	69.1	7.7	−45.9

Pablo Iglesias

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Pablo Iglesias (Podemos)

			Y	N	?	Net
					?	Net
Simple Lógica^[23]	1–15 Jun 2016	1,226	20.5	69.1	10.4	−48.6
Metroscopia/El País^[24]	7–8 Jun 2016	1,200	27.0	72.0	1.0	−45.0
Metroscopia/El País^[8]	31 May–1 Jun 2016	1,200	29.0	69.0	2.0	−40.0
Simple Lógica^[25]	2–10 May 2016	1,035	21.0	71.5	7.6	−50.5
Metroscopia/El País^[26]	26–28 Apr 2016	1,200	24.0	75.0	1.0	−51.0
Simple Lógica^[27]	4–12 Apr 2016	1,047	22.8	72.9	4.3	−50.1
Metroscopia^[28]	5–6 Apr 2016	1,200	26.0	72.0	2.0	−46.0
Metroscopia/El País^[29]	28–30 Mar 2016	1,200	30.0	68.0	2.0	−38.0
Metroscopia/El País^[30]	8–9 Mar 2016	1,200	32.0	67.0	1.0	−35.0
Simple Lógica^[31]	1–9 Mar 2016	1,206	30.8	65.5	3.7	−34.7
Simple Lógica^[32]	1–5 Feb 2016	1,048	27.5	66.7	5.9	−39.2
Metroscopia/El País^[33]	4 Feb 2016	600	36.0	61.0	3.0	−25.0
Metroscopia/El País^[34]	3–4 Feb 2016	1,000	39.0	59.0	2.0	−20.0
Metroscopia/El País^[33]	2 Feb 2016	?	33.0	64.0	3.0	−31.0
Metroscopia/El País^[33]	20–21 Jan 2016	1,200	37.0	59.0	4.0	−22.0
Metroscopia/El País^[35]	12–14 Jan 2016	1,200	39.0	56.0	5.0	−17.0
Simple Lógica^[36]	4–12 Jan 2016	1,050	34.0	59.0	7.0	−25.0

Albert Rivera

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Albert Rivera (C's)

			Y	N	?	Net
					?	Net
Simple Lógica^[23]	1–15 Jun 2016	1,226	40.1	49.5	10.3	−9.4
Metroscopia/El País^[24]	7–8 Jun 2016	1,200	49.0	49.0	2.0	±0.0
Metroscopia/El País^[8]	31 May–1 Jun 2016	1,200	52.0	45.0	3.0	+7.0
Simple Lógica^[25]	2–10 May 2016	1,035	42.7	48.4	8.9	−5.7
Metroscopia/El País^[26]	26–28 Apr 2016	1,200	51.0	48.0	1.0	+3.0
Simple Lógica^[27]	4–12 Apr 2016	1,047	44.5	49.8	5.7	−5.3
Metroscopia^[28]	5–6 Apr 2016	1,200	56.0	42.0	2.0	+14.0
Metroscopia/El País^[29]	28–30 Mar 2016	1,200	56.0	37.0	7.0	+19.0
Metroscopia/El País^[30]	8–9 Mar 2016	1,200	65.0	33.0	2.0	+32.0
Simple Lógica^[31]	1–9 Mar 2016	1,206	52.8	42.9	4.3	+9.9
Simple Lógica^[32]	1–5 Feb 2016	1,048	51.1	42.0	6.9	+9.1
Metroscopia/El País^[33]	4 Feb 2016	600	65.0	32.0	3.0	+33.0
Metroscopia/El País^[34]	3–4 Feb 2016	1,000	63.0	35.0	2.0	+28.0
Metroscopia/El País^[33]	2 Feb 2016	?	62.0	35.0	3.0	+27.0
Metroscopia/El País^[33]	20–21 Jan 2016	1,200	56.0	38.0	6.0	+18.0
Metroscopia/El País^[35]	12–14 Jan 2016	1,200	53.0	41.0	6.0	+12.0
Simple Lógica^[36]	4–12 Jan 2016	1,050	47.4	45.5	7.1	+1.9

Alberto Garzón

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Alberto Garzón (IU)

			Y	N	?	Net
					?	Net
Simple Lógica^[23]	1–15 Jun 2016	1,226	29.7	58.1	12.2	−28.4
Metroscopia/El País^[8]	31 May–1 Jun 2016	1,200	44.0	52.0	4.0	−8.0
Simple Lógica^[25]	2–10 May 2016	1,035	37.7	50.4	11.9	−12.7
Metroscopia/El País^[26]	26–28 Apr 2016	1,200	47.0	48.0	5.0	−1.0
Simple Lógica^[27]	4–12 Apr 2016	1,047	37.3	52.4	10.3	−15.1
Metroscopia^[28]	5–6 Apr 2016	1,200	51.0	45.0	4.0	+6.0
Metroscopia/El País^[29]	28–30 Mar 2016	1,200	55.0	42.0	3.0	+13.0
Metroscopia/El País^[30]	8–9 Mar 2016	1,200	55.0	41.0	4.0	+14.0
Simple Lógica^[31]	1–9 Mar 2016	1,206	46.7	46.2	7.1	+0.5
Simple Lógica^[32]	1–5 Feb 2016	1,048	37.3	50.2	12.5	−12.9
Metroscopia/El País^[34]	3–4 Feb 2016	1,000	55.0	38.0	7.0	+17.0
Metroscopia/El País^[35]	12–14 Jan 2016	1,200	49.0	43.0	8.0	+6.0
Simple Lógica^[36]	4–12 Jan 2016	1,050	39.9	47.7	12.4	−7.8

References

^ ^a ^b "El PP ganaría las elecciones con el 30% de los votos y Unidos Podemos superaría claramente al PSOE". laSexta (in Spanish). 20 June 2016.
^ ^a ^b "Barómetro Electoral de TNS Demoscopia. 20 de junio, 2016". TNS (in Spanish). 20 June 2016.
^ ^a ^b "InvyMark/@laSextaTV: ¿Quién cree que será presidente? ¿A quién prefiere? #26J". Electograph (in Spanish). 18 June 2016.
^ "El ObSERvatorio de la Cadena SER (17/ 6/ 2016)" (PDF). MyWord (in Spanish). 17 June 2016.
^ ^a ^b "Barómetro Electoral de TNS Demoscopia. 13 de junio, 2016". TNS (in Spanish). 13 June 2016.
^ "Encuesta Preelectoral en España: Las elecciones generales del 26J (Junio de 2016)" (PDF). GESOP (in Spanish). 13 June 2016.
^ "¿A quién prefiere como presidente?". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 12 June 2016.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g "Estimación de voto en junio de 2016". El País (in Spanish). 4 June 2016.
^ ^a ^b "Unidos Podemos confirma el 'sorpasso' al PSOE con una ventaja de cinco puntos en unas elecciones que ganaría el PP". laSexta (in Spanish). 15 May 2016.
^ "Previsión de resultados ante unas elecciones anticipadas en España" (PDF). desarrollando-ideas.com (in Spanish). 21 April 2016.
^ "Barómetro Político de España (Marzo de 2016)" (PDF). GESOP (in Spanish). 11 March 2016.
^ "¿Quién preferiría Ud. que fuera ahora mismo Presidente del Gobierno?". laSexta (in Spanish). 24 December 2015.
^ ^a ^b "Cuatro de cada diez creen que Rajoy será el próximo presidente". ABC (in Spanish). 19 June 2016.
^ "Quién será presidente de España". Encuestamos (in Spanish). 26 May 2016.
^ "Encuesta socio-electoral. Barómetro de ABC. Mayo 2016". GAD3 (in Spanish). 30 April 2016.
^ "Quién sería Presidente del Gobierno tras las elecciones". Encuestamos (in Spanish). 26 April 2016.
^ "Encuesta socio-electoral. Barómetro de ABC. Abril 2016". GAD3 (in Spanish). 8 April 2016.
^ "Quién sería hoy el próximo presidente". Encuestamos (in Spanish). 31 March 2016.
^ "Encuesta socio-electoral. Barómetro de ABC. Marzo 2016". GAD3 (in Spanish). 11 March 2016.
^ "A quién vemos como el próximo Presidente del Gobierno". Encuestamos (in Spanish). 25 February 2016.
^ "Encuesta socio-electoral. Barómetro de ABC. Febrero 2016". GAD3 (in Spanish). 12 February 2016.
^ "Encuesta socio-electoral. Barómetro de ABC. Enero 2016". GAD3 (in Spanish). 22 January 2016.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e "Intención de voto y valoración de líderes (junio 2016)". Simple Lógica (in Spanish). 20 June 2016.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d "Sondeo preelectoral de Metroscopia". El País (in Spanish). 10 June 2016.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e "Negociación, intención de voto y valoración de líderes (mayo 2016)". Simple Lógica (in Spanish). 13 May 2016.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e "Barómetro electoral: mayo 2016". Metroscopia (in Spanish). 1 May 2016.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e "Intención de voto y valoración de líderes (abril 2016)". Simple Lógica (in Spanish). 15 April 2016.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e "Pulso electoral (I): el cuatripartidismo se reinventa". Metroscopia (in Spanish). 7 April 2016.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e "Estimación de resultado electoral". El País (in Spanish). 2 April 2016.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e "Intención de voto ante unas elecciones generales". El País (in Spanish). 11 March 2016.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e "Formación de Gobierno, intención de voto y valoración de líderes". Simple Lógica (in Spanish). 11 March 2016.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e "Intención de voto y valoración de líderes (febrero 2016)". Simple Lógica (in Spanish). 12 February 2016.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l "El momento de Pedro Sánchez". Metroscopia (in Spanish). 4 February 2016.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e "Barómetro electoral: febrero 2016". Metroscopia (in Spanish). 8 February 2016.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e "Barómetro electoral: enero 2016". Metroscopia (in Spanish). 19 January 2016.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e "Resultado de las Elecciones, intención de voto y valoración de líderes (enero 2016)". Simple Lógica (in Spanish). 29 January 2016.

Opinion polling for elections in Spain

General elections

1979	Opinion polling
1982	Opinion polling
1986	Opinion polling
1989	Opinion polling
1993	Opinion polling Leadership
1996	Opinion polling Leadership
2000	Opinion polling Leadership
2004	Opinion polling Leadership
2008	Opinion polling Leadership
2011	Opinion polling Sub-national Leadership
2015	Opinion polling Regional Constituency Leadership
2016	Opinion polling Sub-national Leadership
2019 (Apr)	Opinion polling Sub-national Leadership
2019 (Nov)	Opinion polling Sub-national Leadership
2023	Opinion polling Nationwide (2022) Nationwide (2019–2021) Sub-national Leadership Hypothetical scenarios
Next	Opinion polling Leadership

Local elections

2015	Opinion polling Andalusia Aragon Asturias Balearic Islands Basque Country Canary Islands Cantabria Castile and León Castilla–La Mancha Catalonia Extremadura Galicia Madrid Murcia Navarre La Rioja Valencian Community
2019	Opinion polling Andalusia Aragon Asturias Balearic Islands Basque Country Canary Islands Cantabria Castile and León Castilla–La Mancha Catalonia Extremadura Galicia Madrid Murcia Navarre La Rioja Valencian Community
2023	Opinion polling Andalusia Aragon Asturias Balearic Islands Basque Country Canary Islands Cantabria Castile and León Castilla–La Mancha Catalonia Extremadura Galicia Madrid Murcia Navarre La Rioja Valencian Community